eprintid: 4059
rev_number: 11
eprint_status: archive
userid: 253
dir: disk0/00/00/40/59
datestamp: 2020-09-08 09:55:19
lastmod: 2020-09-08 09:55:19
status_changed: 2020-09-08 09:55:19
type: conference_item
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: Le, Minh Duc
creators_name: Nguyen, Hoa Huy
creators_name: Nguyen, Duc Loc
creators_name: Nguyen, Viet Anh
creators_id: duclm@vnu.edu.vn
creators_id: vietanh@vnu.edu.vn
title: How to Forecast the Students' Learning Outcomes Based on Factors of Interactive Activities in a Blended Learning Course
ispublished: pub
subjects: IT
divisions: fac_fit
abstract: This paper summarizes the research results of identifying the influencing factors in the online learning phase of a blended learning course. From such factors, we propose a model for predicting student outcomes. In our study, we have conducted several models in order to predict the student's learning outcomes, using a course of 231 participants. Obtained data from the logs file of an LMS system is analyzed using learning analytics and machine learning techniques, and the results propose that the four factors are the number of views, the number of posts, the number of forum views, and the number of on-time submitted assignments impact on the student's learning outcomes. For the forecast of the final exam grade based on the results of the formative assessment tests, Bayesian Ridge is the most accurate among the four conducted models (Linear Regression, KNR, SVM, Bayesian Ridge). Our study can be a useful material for lecturers and course designers in effectively organizing blended learning courses.
date: 2020-06
date_type: published
official_url: https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3404709.3404711
id_number: https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3404709.3404711
full_text_status: none
pres_type: paper
event_title: Proceedings of the 2020 The 6th International Conference on Frontiers of Educational Technologies
event_location: Tokyo Japan
event_dates: June 2020
event_type: conference
refereed: TRUE
funders: VNU Vietnam National University
projects: QG.20.57
citation:   Le, Minh Duc and Nguyen, Hoa Huy and Nguyen, Duc Loc and Nguyen, Viet Anh  (2020) How to Forecast the Students' Learning Outcomes Based on Factors of Interactive Activities in a Blended Learning Course.  In: Proceedings of the 2020 The 6th International Conference on Frontiers of Educational Technologies, June 2020, Tokyo Japan.